MPU vs NWS

Mega Matrix Inc. vs News Corporation — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — NWS scores higher on quality with 8.7/10 vs MPU's 5.1/10. MPU trades at $0.33 while NWS trades at $30.18. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

MPU

Entertainment
Mega Matrix Inc.
Quality
5.1
out of 10
Value Trap
25
LOW
Price
$0.33
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

NWS

Entertainment
News Corporation
Quality
8.7
out of 10
Value Trap
8
SAFE
Price
$30.18
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
MPU
Earnings Power Value sees +115.3% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
NWS
Quality Score 8.7/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

MPU vs NWS — Fair Value Comparison

MPU
$0$0$1$1 Price$0.33 Bayesian …$0.16 (-51.4%) Earnings …$1.13 (+115.3%)
NWS
$0$12$24$36 Price$30.18 Bayesian …$14.50 (-52.0%) Earnings …$0.70 (-97.7%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType MPU Fair ValueMPU Upside NWS Fair ValueNWS Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.16 -51.4% $14.50 -52.0%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $1.13 +115.3% $0.70 -97.7%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

MPU vs NWS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

NWS scores higher with a 8.7/10 quality rating vs MPU's 5.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do MPU and NWS Valuations Compare?

At $0.33, MPU trades +51.4% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.16, while NWS at $30.18 trades +52.0% above its estimate of $14.50. NWS shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: MPU vs NWS

MPU earns a Quality of Company score of 5.1/10 compared to NWS's 8.7/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: MPU vs NWS

MPU carries a LOW value trap risk (25/100) while NWS shows SAFE risk (8/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Entertainment

Both MPU and NWS operate in Entertainment, which has 50 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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