MPU vs NIPG

Mega Matrix Inc. vs NIP Group Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — MPU scores higher on quality with 5.1/10 vs NIPG's 2.0/10. MPU trades at $0.33 while NIPG trades at $0.40. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

MPU

Entertainment
Mega Matrix Inc.
Quality
5.1
out of 10
Value Trap
25
LOW
Price
$0.33
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

NIPG

Entertainment
NIP Group Inc.
Quality
2.0
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$0.40
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
MPU
Earnings Power Value sees +115.3% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
NIPG
Earnings Power Value sees +85.6% upside
Quality 2.0/10 — below average

MPU vs NIPG — Fair Value Comparison

MPU
$0$0$1$1 Price$0.33 Bayesian …$0.16 (-51.4%) Earnings …$1.13 (+115.3%)
NIPG
$0$1$1$2 Price$0.40 Bayesian …$0.10 (-74.0%) Earnings …$1.34 (+85.6%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType MPU Fair ValueMPU Upside NIPG Fair ValueNIPG Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.16 -51.4% $0.10 -74.0%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $1.13 +115.3% $1.34 +85.6%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

MPU vs NIPG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

MPU scores higher with a 5.1/10 quality rating vs NIPG's 2.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do MPU and NIPG Valuations Compare?

At $0.33, MPU trades +51.4% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.16, while NIPG at $0.40 trades +74.0% above its estimate of $0.10. NIPG shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: MPU vs NIPG

MPU earns a Quality of Company score of 5.1/10 compared to NIPG's 2.0/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: MPU vs NIPG

Review the value trap analysis for both MPU and NIPG to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Entertainment

Both MPU and NIPG operate in Entertainment, which has 50 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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