Is MPT or NHP more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPT) and National Healthcare Properties, (NHP) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. MPT has a Quality of Company score of 6.0/10 while NHP scores 6.4/10.

Which is a better buy — MPT or NHP?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do MPT and NHP valuations compare?

MPT at $5.11 and NHP at $14.45 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

MPT vs NHP Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

MPT

Real Estate Investment Trusts

Medical Properties Trust, Inc.

Quality

6.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$5.11

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

NHP

Real Estate Investment Trusts

National Healthcare Properties,

Quality

6.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$14.45

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MPT Fair Value	MPT Upside	NHP Fair Value	NHP Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$3.08	-39.4%	$1.59	-89.0%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$7.37	-49.0%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$4.04	-21.0%	—	—
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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MPT vs NHP — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

NHP scores higher with a 6.4/10 quality rating vs MPT's 6.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPT) and National Healthcare Properties, (NHP) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

MPT currently trades at $5.11 with a QOC of 6.0/10, while NHP trades at $14.45 with a QOC of 6.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).