Is MGY or MVO more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) and MV Oil Trust (MVO) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. MGY has a Quality of Company score of 9.7/10 while MVO scores 1.7/10.

Which is a better buy — MGY or MVO?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do MGY and MVO valuations compare?

MGY at $27.36 and MVO at $1.88 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

MGY vs MVO Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

MGY

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation

Quality

9.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$27.36

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

MVO

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

MV Oil Trust

Quality

1.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$1.88

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MGY Fair Value	MGY Upside	MVO Fair Value	MVO Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$59.83	+118.7%	$0.48	-74.7%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$18.11	-33.8%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$69.65	+154.6%	$7.48	+187.9%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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MGY vs MVO — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

MGY scores higher with a 9.7/10 quality rating vs MVO's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) and MV Oil Trust (MVO) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

MGY currently trades at $27.36 with a QOC of 9.7/10, while MVO trades at $1.88 with a QOC of 1.7/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).