MGPI vs SBEV Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

Quick Summary — MGPI scores higher on quality with 7.0/10 vs SBEV's 3.8/10. MGPI trades at $16.82 while SBEV trades at $0.14. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

MGPI

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries

MGP Ingredients, Inc.

Quality

7.0

out of 10

Value Trap

25

LOW

Price

$16.82

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

VS

SBEV

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries

Splash Beverage Group, Inc. (NV

Quality

3.8

out of 10

Value Trap

38

LOW

Price

$0.14

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

MGPI

Bayesian DCF sees +229.0% upside

Limited to 2/13 visible models

SBEV

RCMH-DCF sees +399.1% upside

Quality 3.8/10 — below average

MGPI vs SBEV — Fair Value Comparison

MGPI

SBEV

Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MGPI Fair Value	MGPI Upside	SBEV Fair Value	SBEV Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$55.33	+229.0%	$0.03	-77.7%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$5.29	-72.7%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$59.96	+256.5%	$1.00	+399.1%

MGPI vs SBEV — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

MGPI scores higher with a 7.0/10 quality rating vs SBEV's 3.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do MGPI and SBEV Valuations Compare?

At $16.82, MGPI trades +229.0% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $55.33, while SBEV at $0.14 trades +77.7% above its estimate of $0.03. MGPI shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: MGPI vs SBEV

MGPI earns a Quality of Company score of 7.0/10 compared to SBEV's 3.8/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: MGPI vs SBEV

MGPI carries a LOW value trap risk (25/100) while SBEV shows LOW risk (38/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries

Both MGPI and SBEV operate in Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries, which has 9 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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MGPI

View Full MGP Ingredients, Inc. Analysis →

SBEV

View Full Splash Beverage Group, Inc. (NV Analysis →