MDLZ vs SOWG

Mondelez International, Inc. vs Sow Good Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — MDLZ scores higher on quality with 7.9/10 vs SOWG's 3.4/10. MDLZ trades at $61.07 while SOWG trades at $1.53. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

MDLZ

Confectioners
Mondelez International, Inc.
Quality
7.9
out of 10
Value Trap
8
SAFE
Price
$61.07
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

SOWG

Confectioners
Sow Good Inc.
Quality
3.4
out of 10
Value Trap
36
LOW
Price
$1.53
Last close
Models
8/13
Active
MDLZ
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
SOWG
Bayesian DCF sees +175.5% upside
Quality 3.4/10 — below average

MDLZ vs SOWG — Fair Value Comparison

MDLZ
$0$24$48$72 Price$61.07 Bayesian …$21.71 (-64.4%) Earnings …$8.99 (-85.3%)
SOWG
$0$2$3$5 Price$1.53 Bayesian …$4.21 (+175.5%) Dynamic N…$0.33 (-78.7%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType MDLZ Fair ValueMDLZ Upside SOWG Fair ValueSOWG Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $21.71 -64.4% $4.21 +175.5%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $8.99 -85.3%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $0.33 -78.7%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

MDLZ vs SOWG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

MDLZ scores higher with a 7.9/10 quality rating vs SOWG's 3.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do MDLZ and SOWG Valuations Compare?

At $61.07, MDLZ trades +64.4% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $21.71, while SOWG at $1.53 trades +175.5% below its estimate of $4.21. SOWG shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: MDLZ vs SOWG

MDLZ earns a Quality of Company score of 7.9/10 compared to SOWG's 3.4/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: MDLZ vs SOWG

MDLZ carries a SAFE value trap risk (8/100) while SOWG shows LOW risk (36/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Confectioners

Both MDLZ and SOWG operate in Confectioners, which has 5 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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