Is MDLZ or OTLY more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) and Oatly Group AB (OTLY) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. MDLZ has a Quality of Company score of 7.9/10 while OTLY scores 2.1/10.

Which is a better buy — MDLZ or OTLY?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do MDLZ and OTLY valuations compare?

MDLZ at $61.17 and OTLY at $10.05 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

MDLZ vs OTLY Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

MDLZ

Food and Kindred Products

Mondelez International, Inc.

Quality

7.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$61.17

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

OTLY

Food and Kindred Products

Oatly Group AB

Quality

2.1

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$10.05

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MDLZ Fair Value	MDLZ Upside	OTLY Fair Value	OTLY Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$22.61	-63.0%	$2.68	-73.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$9.38	-84.7%	$2.48	-77.5%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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MDLZ vs OTLY — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

MDLZ scores higher with a 7.9/10 quality rating vs OTLY's 2.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) and Oatly Group AB (OTLY) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

MDLZ currently trades at $61.17 with a QOC of 7.9/10, while OTLY trades at $10.05 with a QOC of 2.1/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).