Is MDIA or SPOT more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Mediaco Holding Inc. (MDIA) and Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. MDIA has a Quality of Company score of 4.2/10 while SPOT scores 9.4/10.

Which is a better buy — MDIA or SPOT?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do MDIA and SPOT valuations compare?

MDIA at $0.85 and SPOT at $497.68 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

MDIA vs SPOT Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

MDIA

Radio Broadcasting Stations

Mediaco Holding Inc.

Quality

4.2

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$0.85

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

SPOT

Radio Broadcasting Stations

Spotify Technology S.A.

Quality

9.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$497.68

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MDIA Fair Value	MDIA Upside	SPOT Fair Value	SPOT Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	—	—	$88.17	-82.3%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$166.42	-66.6%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$0.14	-83.5%	$292.61	-41.2%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$0.27	-68.7%	$155.91	-68.7%

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MDIA vs SPOT — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

SPOT scores higher with a 9.4/10 quality rating vs MDIA's 4.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Mediaco Holding Inc. (MDIA) and Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

MDIA currently trades at $0.85 with a QOC of 4.2/10, while SPOT trades at $497.68 with a QOC of 9.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).