MC vs MDBH

Moelis & Company vs MDB Capital Holdings, LLC — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — MC scores higher on quality with 6.9/10 vs MDBH's 6.0/10. MC trades at $69.25 while MDBH trades at $3.26. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

MC

Capital Markets
Moelis & Company
Quality
6.9
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$69.25
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

MDBH

Capital Markets
MDB Capital Holdings, LLC
Quality
6.0
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$3.26
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
MC
Bayesian DCF sees +24.0% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
MDBH
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

MC vs MDBH — Fair Value Comparison

MC
$0$34$68$101 Price$69.25 Bayesian …$85.90 (+24.0%) Earnings …$13.58 (-80.4%)
MDBH
$0$1$3$4 Price$3.26 Bayesian …$1.48 (-54.7%) Earnings …$1.57 (-59.4%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType MC Fair ValueMC Upside MDBH Fair ValueMDBH Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $85.90 +24.0% $1.48 -54.7%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $13.58 -80.4% $1.57 -59.4%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

MC vs MDBH — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

MC scores higher with a 6.9/10 quality rating vs MDBH's 6.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do MC and MDBH Valuations Compare?

At $69.25, MC trades +24.0% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $85.90, while MDBH at $3.26 trades +54.7% above its estimate of $1.48. MDBH shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: MC vs MDBH

MC earns a Quality of Company score of 6.9/10 compared to MDBH's 6.0/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: MC vs MDBH

MC carries a SAFE value trap risk (6/100) while MDBH shows SAFE risk (6/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Capital Markets

Both MC and MDBH operate in Capital Markets, which has 86 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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