Is MATH or MCGA more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Metalpha Technology Holding Lim (MATH) and Yorkville Acquisition Corp. (MCGA) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. MATH has a Quality of Company score of 1.9/10 while MCGA scores 4.4/10.

Which is a better buy — MATH or MCGA?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do MATH and MCGA valuations compare?

MATH at $1.05 and MCGA at $10.22 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

MATH vs MCGA Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

MATH

Finance Services

Metalpha Technology Holding Lim

Quality

1.9

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$1.05

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

MCGA

Finance Services

Yorkville Acquisition Corp.

Quality

4.4

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$10.22

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MATH Fair Value	MATH Upside	MCGA Fair Value	MCGA Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.23	-77.7%	$0.11	-98.9%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$0.15	-98.5%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$0.12	-86.4%	$0.14	-98.6%

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MATH vs MCGA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

MCGA scores higher with a 4.4/10 quality rating vs MATH's 1.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Metalpha Technology Holding Lim (MATH) and Yorkville Acquisition Corp. (MCGA) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

MATH currently trades at $1.05 with a QOC of 1.9/10, while MCGA trades at $10.22 with a QOC of 4.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).