MANU vs MSGE

Manchester vs Madison Square Garden Entertain — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — MSGE scores higher on quality with 9.6/10 vs MANU's 5.6/10. MANU trades at $21.68 while MSGE trades at $72.08. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

MANU

Entertainment
Manchester
Quality
5.6
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$21.68
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
VS

MSGE

Entertainment
Madison Square Garden Entertain
Quality
9.6
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$72.08
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
MANU
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
MSGE
Quality Score 9.6/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

MANU vs MSGE — Fair Value Comparison

MANU
$0$9$17$26 Price$21.68 Bayesian …$2.23 (-89.7%) First Chi…$2.92 (-86.5%)
MSGE
$0$28$57$85 Price$72.08 Bayesian …$41.20 (-42.8%) Earnings …$7.75 (-89.3%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType MANU Fair ValueMANU Upside MSGE Fair ValueMSGE Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $2.23 -89.7% $41.20 -42.8%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $7.75 -89.3%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $2.92 -86.5% $189.93 +163.5%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

MANU vs MSGE — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

MSGE scores higher with a 9.6/10 quality rating vs MANU's 5.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do MANU and MSGE Valuations Compare?

At $21.68, MANU trades +89.7% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.23, while MSGE at $72.08 trades +42.8% above its estimate of $41.20. MANU shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: MANU vs MSGE

MANU earns a Quality of Company score of 5.6/10 compared to MSGE's 9.6/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: MANU vs MSGE

MANU carries a SAFE value trap risk (6/100) while MSGE shows SAFE risk (12/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Entertainment

Both MANU and MSGE operate in Entertainment, which has 50 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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