LYV vs MSGS

Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. vs Madison Square Garden Sports Co — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — LYV scores higher on quality with 6.9/10 vs MSGS's 5.7/10. LYV trades at $167.64 while MSGS trades at $382.72. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

LYV

Entertainment
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.
Quality
6.9
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$167.64
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

MSGS

Entertainment
Madison Square Garden Sports Co
Quality
5.7
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$382.72
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
LYV
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
MSGS
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

LYV vs MSGS — Fair Value Comparison

LYV
$0$66$132$198 Price$167.64 Bayesian …$83.46 (-50.2%) Earnings …$37.78 (-77.5%)
MSGS
$0$151$301$452 Price$382.72 Bayesian …$5.09 (-98.7%) Earnings …$84.06 (-74.8%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType LYV Fair ValueLYV Upside MSGS Fair ValueMSGS Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $83.46 -50.2% $5.09 -98.7%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $37.78 -77.5% $84.06 -74.8%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

LYV vs MSGS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

LYV scores higher with a 6.9/10 quality rating vs MSGS's 5.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do LYV and MSGS Valuations Compare?

At $167.64, LYV trades +50.2% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $83.46, while MSGS at $382.72 trades +98.7% above its estimate of $5.09. MSGS shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: LYV vs MSGS

LYV earns a Quality of Company score of 6.9/10 compared to MSGS's 5.7/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: LYV vs MSGS

LYV carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while MSGS shows SAFE risk (12/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Entertainment

Both LYV and MSGS operate in Entertainment, which has 50 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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