Is LXU or ORGN more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) and Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. LXU has a Quality of Company score of 8.9/10 while ORGN scores 5.1/10.

Which is a better buy — LXU or ORGN?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do LXU and ORGN valuations compare?

LXU at $12.95 and ORGN at $1.51 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

LXU vs ORGN Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

LXU

Chemicals

LSB Industries, Inc.

Quality

8.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$12.95

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

ORGN

Chemicals

Origin Materials, Inc.

Quality

5.1

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$1.51

Last close

Models

6/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	LXU Fair Value	LXU Upside	ORGN Fair Value	ORGN Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$10.56	-18.5%	$0.94	-37.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$1.07	-91.7%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$11.00	-15.1%	$7.63	+405.4%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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LXU vs ORGN — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

LXU scores higher with a 8.9/10 quality rating vs ORGN's 5.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) and Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

LXU currently trades at $12.95 with a QOC of 8.9/10, while ORGN trades at $1.51 with a QOC of 5.1/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).