LTBR vs OESX

Lightbridge Corporation vs Orion Energy Systems, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — OESX scores higher on quality with 6.1/10 vs LTBR's 4.5/10. LTBR trades at $12.14 while OESX trades at $9.48. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

LTBR

Electrical Equipment & Parts
Lightbridge Corporation
Quality
4.5
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$12.14
Last close
Models
7/13
Active
VS

OESX

Electrical Equipment & Parts
Orion Energy Systems, Inc.
Quality
6.1
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$9.48
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
LTBR
2 models active
Quality 4.5/10 — below average
OESX
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

LTBR vs OESX — Fair Value Comparison

LTBR
$0$5$10$14 Price$12.14 Bayesian …$6.78 (-44.2%) Dynamic N…$6.94 (-42.9%)
OESX
$0$4$7$11 Price$9.48 Bayesian …$0.82 (-91.7%) Earnings …$0.61 (-93.5%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType LTBR Fair ValueLTBR Upside OESX Fair ValueOESX Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $6.78 -44.2% $0.82 -91.7%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $0.61 -93.5%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $6.94 -42.9% $1.92 -79.7%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

LTBR vs OESX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

OESX scores higher with a 6.1/10 quality rating vs LTBR's 4.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do LTBR and OESX Valuations Compare?

At $12.14, LTBR trades +44.2% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $6.78, while OESX at $9.48 trades +91.7% above its estimate of $0.82. OESX shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: LTBR vs OESX

LTBR earns a Quality of Company score of 4.5/10 compared to OESX's 6.1/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: LTBR vs OESX

LTBR carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while OESX shows SAFE risk (24/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Electrical Equipment & Parts

Both LTBR and OESX operate in Electrical Equipment & Parts, which has 46 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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