Is LITE or NTGR more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) and NETGEAR, Inc. (NTGR) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. LITE has a Quality of Company score of 8.4/10 while NTGR scores 6.6/10.

Which is a better buy — LITE or NTGR?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do LITE and NTGR valuations compare?

LITE at $860.62 and NTGR at $25.71 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

LITE vs NTGR Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

LITE

Communication Equipment

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

Quality

8.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$860.62

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

NTGR

Communication Equipment

NETGEAR, Inc.

Quality

6.6

out of 10

Value Trap

WARN

Price

$25.71

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	LITE Fair Value	LITE Upside	NTGR Fair Value	NTGR Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$63.24	-92.7%	$7.17	-72.1%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$21.84	-97.5%	$11.33	-55.1%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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LITE vs NTGR — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

LITE scores higher with a 8.4/10 quality rating vs NTGR's 6.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) and NETGEAR, Inc. (NTGR) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

LITE currently trades at $860.62 with a QOC of 8.4/10, while NTGR trades at $25.71 with a QOC of 6.6/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).