Is LI or NIO more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Li Auto Inc. (LI) and NIO Inc. (NIO) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. LI has a Quality of Company score of 8.3/10 while NIO scores 6.8/10.

Which is a better buy — LI or NIO?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do LI and NIO valuations compare?

LI at $15.54 and NIO at $5.55 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

LI vs NIO Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

LI

Auto Manufacturers

Li Auto Inc.

Quality

8.3

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$15.54

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

NIO

Auto Manufacturers

NIO Inc.

Quality

6.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$5.55

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	LI Fair Value	LI Upside	NIO Fair Value	NIO Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$12.45	-19.9%	$0.53	-90.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$9.78	-37.0%	$6.10	+3.3%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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LI vs NIO — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

LI scores higher with a 8.3/10 quality rating vs NIO's 6.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Li Auto Inc. (LI) and NIO Inc. (NIO) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

LI currently trades at $15.54 with a QOC of 8.3/10, while NIO trades at $5.55 with a QOC of 6.8/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).