Is LAC or MP more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) and MP Materials Corp. (MP) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. LAC has a Quality of Company score of 5.0/10 while MP scores 6.8/10.

Which is a better buy — LAC or MP?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do LAC and MP valuations compare?

LAC at $5.21 and MP at $64.70 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

LAC vs MP Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

LAC

Metal Mining

Lithium Americas Corp.

Quality

5.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$5.21

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

MP

Metal Mining

MP Materials Corp.

Quality

6.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$64.70

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	LAC Fair Value	LAC Upside	MP Fair Value	MP Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.52	-70.8%	$13.81	-78.7%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$3.58	-94.6%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$1.14	-78.2%	$4.95	-92.3%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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LAC vs MP — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

MP scores higher with a 6.8/10 quality rating vs LAC's 5.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) and MP Materials Corp. (MP) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

LAC currently trades at $5.21 with a QOC of 5.0/10, while MP trades at $64.70 with a QOC of 6.8/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).