KLAR vs MA

Klarna Group plc vs Mastercard Incorporated — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — MA scores higher on quality with 8.3/10 vs KLAR's 4.5/10. KLAR trades at $17.52 while MA trades at $477.68. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

KLAR

Credit Services
Klarna Group plc
Quality
4.5
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$17.52
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

MA

Credit Services
Mastercard Incorporated
Quality
8.3
out of 10
Value Trap
31
LOW
Price
$477.68
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
KLAR
Earnings Power Value sees +13.0% upside
Quality 4.5/10 — below average
MA
Quality Score 8.3/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

KLAR vs MA — Fair Value Comparison

KLAR
$0$7$14$21 Price$17.52 Bayesian …$6.95 (-60.3%) Earnings …$15.89 (+13.0%)
MA
$0$188$376$564 Price$477.68 Bayesian …$325.88 (-31.8%) Earnings …$139.94 (-70.7%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType KLAR Fair ValueKLAR Upside MA Fair ValueMA Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $6.95 -60.3% $325.88 -31.8%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $15.89 +13.0% $139.94 -70.7%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

KLAR vs MA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

MA scores higher with a 8.3/10 quality rating vs KLAR's 4.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do KLAR and MA Valuations Compare?

At $17.52, KLAR trades +60.3% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $6.95, while MA at $477.68 trades +31.8% above its estimate of $325.88. KLAR shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: KLAR vs MA

KLAR earns a Quality of Company score of 4.5/10 compared to MA's 8.3/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: KLAR vs MA

Review the value trap analysis for both KLAR and MA to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Credit Services

Both KLAR and MA operate in Credit Services, which has 52 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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