KEEL vs LDOS

Keel Infrastructure Corp. vs Leidos Holdings, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — LDOS scores higher on quality with 9.8/10 vs KEEL's 4.7/10. KEEL trades at $6.14 while LDOS trades at $126.82. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

KEEL

Information Technology Services
Keel Infrastructure Corp.
Quality
4.7
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$6.14
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
VS

LDOS

Information Technology Services
Leidos Holdings, Inc.
Quality
9.8
out of 10
Value Trap
17
SAFE
Price
$126.82
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
KEEL
2 models active
Quality 4.7/10 — below average
LDOS
Bayesian DCF sees +39.0% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

KEEL vs LDOS — Fair Value Comparison

KEEL
$0$2$5$7 Price$6.14 Bayesian …$1.56 (-74.6%) First Chi…$0.81 (-85.5%)
LDOS
$0$69$139$208 Price$126.82 Bayesian …$176.34 (+39.0%) Earnings …$134.80 (+6.3%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType KEEL Fair ValueKEEL Upside LDOS Fair ValueLDOS Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $1.56 -74.6% $176.34 +39.0%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $134.80 +6.3%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $0.81 -85.5% $222.07 +75.1%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

KEEL vs LDOS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

LDOS scores higher with a 9.8/10 quality rating vs KEEL's 4.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do KEEL and LDOS Valuations Compare?

At $6.14, KEEL trades +74.6% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.56, while LDOS at $126.82 trades +39.0% below its estimate of $176.34. KEEL shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: KEEL vs LDOS

KEEL earns a Quality of Company score of 4.7/10 compared to LDOS's 9.8/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: KEEL vs LDOS

Review the value trap analysis for both KEEL and LDOS to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Information Technology Services

Both KEEL and LDOS operate in Information Technology Services, which has 65 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

2 of 13 MODELS UNLOCKED

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