KDP vs MNST

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. vs Monster Beverage Corporation — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — MNST scores higher on quality with 9.6/10 vs KDP's 9.3/10. KDP trades at $30.36 while MNST trades at $88.24. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

KDP

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
Quality
9.3
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$30.36
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

MNST

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Monster Beverage Corporation
Quality
9.6
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$88.24
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
KDP
Quality Score 9.3/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
MNST
Quality Score 9.6/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

KDP vs MNST — Fair Value Comparison

KDP
$0$12$24$36 Price$30.36 Bayesian …$0.85 (-97.2%) Earnings …$4.48 (-85.2%)
MNST
$0$35$69$104 Price$88.24 Bayesian …$22.75 (-74.2%) Earnings …$20.60 (-76.7%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType KDP Fair ValueKDP Upside MNST Fair ValueMNST Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.85 -97.2% $22.75 -74.2%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $4.48 -85.2% $20.60 -76.7%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

KDP vs MNST — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

MNST scores higher with a 9.6/10 quality rating vs KDP's 9.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do KDP and MNST Valuations Compare?

At $30.36, KDP trades +97.2% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.85, while MNST at $88.24 trades +74.2% above its estimate of $22.75. KDP shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: KDP vs MNST

KDP earns a Quality of Company score of 9.3/10 compared to MNST's 9.6/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: KDP vs MNST

Review the value trap analysis for both KDP and MNST to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Both KDP and MNST operate in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic, which has 13 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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