JPM vs SMFG

JP Morgan Chase & Co. vs Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — JPM scores higher on quality with 8.2/10 vs SMFG's 7.2/10. JPM trades at $300.96 while SMFG trades at $22.74. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

JPM

Banks - Diversified
JP Morgan Chase & Co.
Quality
8.2
out of 10
Value Trap
22
SAFE
Price
$300.96
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
VS

SMFG

Banks - Diversified
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group
Quality
7.2
out of 10
Value Trap
26
LOW
Price
$22.74
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
JPM
Quality Score 8.2/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
SMFG
Earnings Power Value sees +410.2% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

JPM vs SMFG — Fair Value Comparison

JPM
$0$118$237$355 Price$300.96 Bayesian …$189.30 (-37.1%) Earnings …$246.21 (-18.2%)
SMFG
$0$46$91$137 Price$22.74 Earnings …$116.03 (+410.2%) First Chi…$92.18 (+305.4%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType JPM Fair ValueJPM Upside SMFG Fair ValueSMFG Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $189.30 -37.1%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $246.21 -18.2% $116.03 +410.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $427.65 +42.1% $92.18 +305.4%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

JPM vs SMFG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

JPM scores higher with a 8.2/10 quality rating vs SMFG's 7.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do JPM and SMFG Valuations Compare?

JPM currently trades at $300.96 while SMFG trades at $22.74. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: JPM vs SMFG

JPM earns a Quality of Company score of 8.2/10 compared to SMFG's 7.2/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: JPM vs SMFG

JPM carries a SAFE value trap risk (22/100) while SMFG shows LOW risk (26/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Banks - Diversified

Both JPM and SMFG operate in Banks - Diversified, which has 17 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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