Is JEF or MARA more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) and MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. JEF has a Quality of Company score of 8.0/10 while MARA scores 5.4/10.

Which is a better buy — JEF or MARA?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do JEF and MARA valuations compare?

JEF at $52.47 and MARA at $14.07 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

JEF vs MARA Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

JEF

Capital Markets

Jefferies Financial Group Inc.

Quality

8.0

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$52.47

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

MARA

Capital Markets

MARA Holdings, Inc.

Quality

5.4

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$14.07

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	JEF Fair Value	JEF Upside	MARA Fair Value	MARA Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$2.13	-95.7%	$1.87	-86.7%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$13.20	-73.2%	$21.25	+64.2%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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JEF vs MARA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

JEF scores higher with a 8.0/10 quality rating vs MARA's 5.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) and MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

JEF currently trades at $52.47 with a QOC of 8.0/10, while MARA trades at $14.07 with a QOC of 5.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).