ISPC vs MEDP

iSpecimen Inc. vs Medpace Holdings, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — MEDP scores higher on quality with 10.0/10 vs ISPC's 4.5/10. ISPC trades at $3.07 while MEDP trades at $445.59. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

ISPC

Diagnostics & Research
iSpecimen Inc.
Quality
4.5
out of 10
Value Trap
59
WARN
Price
$3.07
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

MEDP

Diagnostics & Research
Medpace Holdings, Inc.
Quality
10.0
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$445.59
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
ISPC
Earnings Power Value sees +328.5% upside
Value Trap 59/100 — caution
MEDP
Quality Score 10.0/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

ISPC vs MEDP — Fair Value Comparison

ISPC
$0$9$19$28 Price$3.07 Bayesian …$1.80 (-41.3%) Earnings …$24.08 (+328.5%)
MEDP
$0$175$351$526 Price$445.59 Bayesian …$389.44 (-12.6%) Earnings …$195.85 (-56.0%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType ISPC Fair ValueISPC Upside MEDP Fair ValueMEDP Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $1.80 -41.3% $389.44 -12.6%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $24.08 +328.5% $195.85 -56.0%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

ISPC vs MEDP — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

MEDP scores higher with a 10.0/10 quality rating vs ISPC's 4.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do ISPC and MEDP Valuations Compare?

At $3.07, ISPC trades +41.3% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.80, while MEDP at $445.59 trades +12.6% above its estimate of $389.44. ISPC shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: ISPC vs MEDP

ISPC earns a Quality of Company score of 4.5/10 compared to MEDP's 10.0/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: ISPC vs MEDP

ISPC carries a WARN value trap risk (59/100) while MEDP shows SAFE risk (6/100). Stocks with value trap scores above 40 may appear undervalued but face deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue can make the apparent discount a trap.

Both in Diagnostics & Research

Both ISPC and MEDP operate in Diagnostics & Research, which has 48 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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