HNGE vs HTFL

Hinge Health, Inc. vs Heartflow, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — HNGE scores higher on quality with 6.4/10 vs HTFL's 6.3/10. HNGE trades at $58.48 while HTFL trades at $29.55. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

HNGE

Health Information Services
Hinge Health, Inc.
Quality
6.4
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$58.48
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

HTFL

Health Information Services
Heartflow, Inc.
Quality
6.3
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$29.55
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
HNGE
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
HTFL
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

HNGE vs HTFL — Fair Value Comparison

HNGE
$0$23$46$69 Price$58.48 Bayesian …$29.78 (-49.1%) Earnings …$21.99 (-51.6%)
HTFL
$0$12$23$35 Price$29.55 Bayesian …$3.73 (-87.4%) Earnings …$9.40 (-67.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType HNGE Fair ValueHNGE Upside HTFL Fair ValueHTFL Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $29.78 -49.1% $3.73 -87.4%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $21.99 -51.6% $9.40 -67.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

HNGE vs HTFL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

HNGE scores higher with a 6.4/10 quality rating vs HTFL's 6.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do HNGE and HTFL Valuations Compare?

At $58.48, HNGE trades +49.1% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $29.78, while HTFL at $29.55 trades +87.4% above its estimate of $3.73. HTFL shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: HNGE vs HTFL

HNGE earns a Quality of Company score of 6.4/10 compared to HTFL's 6.3/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: HNGE vs HTFL

Review the value trap analysis for both HNGE and HTFL to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Health Information Services

Both HNGE and HTFL operate in Health Information Services, which has 46 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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