Is HLIT or MSI more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) and Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. HLIT has a Quality of Company score of 8.1/10 while MSI scores 9.8/10.

Which is a better buy — HLIT or MSI?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do HLIT and MSI valuations compare?

HLIT at $15.11 and MSI at $403.28 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

HLIT vs MSI Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

HLIT

Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment

Harmonic Inc.

Quality

8.1

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$15.11

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

MSI

Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment

Motorola Solutions, Inc.

Quality

9.8

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$403.28

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	HLIT Fair Value	HLIT Upside	MSI Fair Value	MSI Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$5.98	-60.4%	$113.77	-71.8%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$4.09	-72.9%	$78.68	-80.5%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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HLIT vs MSI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

MSI scores higher with a 9.8/10 quality rating vs HLIT's 8.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) and Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

HLIT currently trades at $15.11 with a QOC of 8.1/10, while MSI trades at $403.28 with a QOC of 9.8/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).