Is HGBL or HLI more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL) and Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. HGBL has a Quality of Company score of 7.2/10 while HLI scores 9.7/10.

Which is a better buy — HGBL or HLI?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do HGBL and HLI valuations compare?

HGBL at $1.26 and HLI at $145.77 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

HGBL vs HLI Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

HGBL

Capital Markets

Heritage Global Inc.

Quality

7.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$1.26

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

HLI

Capital Markets

Houlihan Lokey, Inc.

Quality

9.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$145.77

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	HGBL Fair Value	HGBL Upside	HLI Fair Value	HLI Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$2.76	+119.3%	$169.87	+16.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$0.72	-42.9%	$72.93	-50.0%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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HGBL vs HLI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

HLI scores higher with a 9.7/10 quality rating vs HGBL's 7.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL) and Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

HGBL currently trades at $1.26 with a QOC of 7.2/10, while HLI trades at $145.77 with a QOC of 9.7/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).