Is HCM or HOTH more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares HUTCHMED (China) Limited (HCM) and Hoth Therapeutics, Inc. (HOTH) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. HCM has a Quality of Company score of 2.5/10 while HOTH scores 3.9/10.

Which is a better buy — HCM or HOTH?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do HCM and HOTH valuations compare?

HCM at $11.45 and HOTH at $1.36 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

HCM vs HOTH Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

HCM

Pharmaceutical Preparations

HUTCHMED (China) Limited

Quality

2.5

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$11.45

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

HOTH

Pharmaceutical Preparations

Hoth Therapeutics, Inc.

Quality

3.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$1.36

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	HCM Fair Value	HCM Upside	HOTH Fair Value	HOTH Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$3.53	-69.2%	$0.28	-79.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$2.92	-78.0%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$28.56	+149.4%	$0.68	-50.0%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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HCM vs HOTH — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

HOTH scores higher with a 3.9/10 quality rating vs HCM's 2.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing HUTCHMED (China) Limited (HCM) and Hoth Therapeutics, Inc. (HOTH) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

HCM currently trades at $11.45 with a QOC of 2.5/10, while HOTH trades at $1.36 with a QOC of 3.9/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).