Is GROY or NVA more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Gold Royalty Corp. (GROY) and Nova Minerals Limited (NVA) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. GROY has a Quality of Company score of 1.7/10 while NVA scores 5.6/10.

Which is a better buy — GROY or NVA?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do GROY and NVA valuations compare?

GROY at $3.20 and NVA at $6.75 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

GROY vs NVA Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

GROY

Gold and Silver Ores

Gold Royalty Corp.

Quality

1.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$3.20

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

NVA

Gold and Silver Ores

Nova Minerals Limited

Quality

5.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$6.75

Last close

Models

6/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	GROY Fair Value	GROY Upside	NVA Fair Value	NVA Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.84	-73.7%	$1.43	-78.8%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$0.31	-94.7%
First Chicago	Scenario	$0.39	-87.6%	—	—
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for GROY vs NVA — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

GROY vs NVA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

NVA scores higher with a 5.6/10 quality rating vs GROY's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Gold Royalty Corp. (GROY) and Nova Minerals Limited (NVA) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

GROY currently trades at $3.20 with a QOC of 1.7/10, while NVA trades at $6.75 with a QOC of 5.6/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).