GAU vs GROY

Galiano Gold Inc. vs Gold Royalty Corp. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — GAU scores higher on quality with 2.1/10 vs GROY's 1.7/10. GAU trades at $2.23 while GROY trades at $3.22. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

GAU

Gold
Galiano Gold Inc.
Quality
2.1
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$2.23
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

GROY

Gold
Gold Royalty Corp.
Quality
1.7
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$3.22
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
GAU
2 models active
Quality 2.1/10 — below average
GROY
2 models active
Quality 1.7/10 — below average

GAU vs GROY — Fair Value Comparison

GAU
$0$1$2$3 Price$2.23 Bayesian …$0.43 (-80.5%) Earnings …$0.41 (-83.1%)
GROY
$0$1$3$4 Price$3.22 Bayesian …$0.84 (-74.0%) First Chi…$0.39 (-87.6%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType GAU Fair ValueGAU Upside GROY Fair ValueGROY Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.43 -80.5% $0.84 -74.0%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $0.41 -83.1%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $1.28 -42.4% $0.39 -87.6%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

GAU vs GROY — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

GAU scores higher with a 2.1/10 quality rating vs GROY's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do GAU and GROY Valuations Compare?

At $2.23, GAU trades +80.5% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.43, while GROY at $3.22 trades +74.0% above its estimate of $0.84. GAU shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: GAU vs GROY

GAU earns a Quality of Company score of 2.1/10 compared to GROY's 1.7/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: GAU vs GROY

Review the value trap analysis for both GAU and GROY to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Gold

Both GAU and GROY operate in Gold, which has 50 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

2 of 13 MODELS UNLOCKED

You’re comparing 2 models. 11 more have an opinion.

11 hidden models compare GAU vs GROY differently — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more. Some may disagree with the 2 you see above.

11 additional fair values per stock Full confidence breakdown Live terminal — 5,000+ stocks

Bloomberg Terminal: ~$2,000/mo  ·  FactSet: ~$1,000/mo  ·  CirclFi: $0.90/day

See All 13 Models — $0.90/day

We don’t predict prices. We show you what 13 independent mathematical frameworks say a stock is worth — and let you decide.

See all Gold stocks →