FSS vs HYFM Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

Quick Summary — FSS scores higher on quality with 9.5/10 vs HYFM's 4.1/10. FSS trades at $106.45 while HYFM trades at $0.99. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

FSS

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Federal Signal Corporation

Quality

9.5

out of 10

Value Trap

12

SAFE

Price

$106.45

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

VS

HYFM

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc.

Quality

4.1

out of 10

Value Trap

32

LOW

Price

$0.99

Last close

Models

1/13

Active

FSS

Quality Score 9.5/10 — top tier

Limited to 2/13 visible models

HYFM

Bayesian DCF sees +88.8% upside

Quality 4.1/10 — below average

FSS vs HYFM — Fair Value Comparison

FSS

HYFM

Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	FSS Fair Value	FSS Upside	HYFM Fair Value	HYFM Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$15.13	-85.8%	$2.27	+88.8%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$31.77	-70.2%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

FSS vs HYFM — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

FSS scores higher with a 9.5/10 quality rating vs HYFM's 4.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do FSS and HYFM Valuations Compare?

At $106.45, FSS trades +85.8% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $15.13, while HYFM at $0.99 trades +88.8% below its estimate of $2.27. HYFM shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: FSS vs HYFM

FSS earns a Quality of Company score of 9.5/10 compared to HYFM's 4.1/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: FSS vs HYFM

FSS carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while HYFM shows LOW risk (32/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Both FSS and HYFM operate in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery, which has 24 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

2 of 13 MODELS UNLOCKED

You’re comparing 2 models. 11 more have an opinion.

11 hidden models compare FSS vs HYFM differently — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more. Some may disagree with the 2 you see above.

11 additional fair values per stock Full confidence breakdown Live terminal — 5,000+ stocks

Bloomberg Terminal: ~$2,000/mo · FactSet: ~$1,000/mo · CirclFi: $0.90/day

See All 13 Models — $0.90/day

We don’t predict prices. We show you what 13 independent mathematical frameworks say a stock is worth — and let you decide.

FSS

View Full Federal Signal Corporation Analysis →

HYFM

View Full Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. Analysis →