FSS vs HY Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

Quick Summary — FSS scores higher on quality with 9.5/10 vs HY's 6.3/10. FSS trades at $106.45 while HY trades at $36.33. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

FSS

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Federal Signal Corporation

Quality

9.5

out of 10

Value Trap

12

SAFE

Price

$106.45

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

VS

HY

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Hyster-Yale, Inc.

Quality

6.3

out of 10

Value Trap

12

SAFE

Price

$36.33

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

FSS

Quality Score 9.5/10 — top tier

Limited to 2/13 visible models

HY

First Chicago sees +33.4% upside

Limited to 2/13 visible models

FSS vs HY — Fair Value Comparison

FSS

HY

Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	FSS Fair Value	FSS Upside	HY Fair Value	HY Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$15.13	-85.8%	—	—
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$31.77	-70.2%	$6.72	-83.1%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$148.62	+39.6%	$48.46	+33.4%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

FSS vs HY — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

FSS scores higher with a 9.5/10 quality rating vs HY's 6.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do FSS and HY Valuations Compare?

FSS currently trades at $106.45 while HY trades at $36.33. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: FSS vs HY

FSS earns a Quality of Company score of 9.5/10 compared to HY's 6.3/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: FSS vs HY

FSS carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while HY shows SAFE risk (12/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Both FSS and HY operate in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery, which has 24 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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FSS

View Full Federal Signal Corporation Analysis →

HY

View Full Hyster-Yale, Inc. Analysis →