Is FSM or GROY more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) and Gold Royalty Corp. (GROY) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. FSM has a Quality of Company score of 8.8/10 while GROY scores 1.7/10.

Which is a better buy — FSM or GROY?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do FSM and GROY valuations compare?

FSM at $10.06 and GROY at $3.25 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

FSM vs GROY Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

FSM

Gold and Silver Ores

Fortuna Mining Corp.

Quality

8.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$10.06

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

GROY

Gold and Silver Ores

Gold Royalty Corp.

Quality

1.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$3.25

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	FSM Fair Value	FSM Upside	GROY Fair Value	GROY Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$15.71	+56.1%	$0.84	-74.1%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$10.87	+8.1%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$19.99	+98.7%	$0.39	-87.6%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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FSM vs GROY — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

FSM scores higher with a 8.8/10 quality rating vs GROY's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) and Gold Royalty Corp. (GROY) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

FSM currently trades at $10.06 with a QOC of 8.8/10, while GROY trades at $3.25 with a QOC of 1.7/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).