FIZZ vs KDP

National Beverage Corp. vs Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — KDP scores higher on quality with 9.3/10 vs FIZZ's 9.3/10. FIZZ trades at $35.57 while KDP trades at $30.36. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

FIZZ

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
National Beverage Corp.
Quality
9.3
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$35.57
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

KDP

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
Quality
9.3
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$30.36
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
FIZZ
Quality Score 9.3/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
KDP
Quality Score 9.3/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

FIZZ vs KDP — Fair Value Comparison

FIZZ
$0$14$28$42 Price$35.57 Bayesian …$29.95 (-15.8%) Earnings …$18.79 (-47.2%)
KDP
$0$12$24$36 Price$30.36 Bayesian …$0.85 (-97.2%) Earnings …$4.48 (-85.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType FIZZ Fair ValueFIZZ Upside KDP Fair ValueKDP Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $29.95 -15.8% $0.85 -97.2%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $18.79 -47.2% $4.48 -85.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

FIZZ vs KDP — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

KDP scores higher with a 9.3/10 quality rating vs FIZZ's 9.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do FIZZ and KDP Valuations Compare?

At $35.57, FIZZ trades +15.8% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $29.95, while KDP at $30.36 trades +97.2% above its estimate of $0.85. KDP shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: FIZZ vs KDP

FIZZ earns a Quality of Company score of 9.3/10 compared to KDP's 9.3/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: FIZZ vs KDP

Review the value trap analysis for both FIZZ and KDP to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Both FIZZ and KDP operate in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic, which has 13 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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