F vs HMC

Ford Motor Company vs Honda Motor Company, Ltd. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — F scores higher on quality with 8.7/10 vs HMC's 1.9/10. F trades at $16.15 while HMC trades at $26.48. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

F

Auto Manufacturers
Ford Motor Company
Quality
8.7
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$16.15
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

HMC

Auto Manufacturers
Honda Motor Company, Ltd.
Quality
1.9
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$26.48
Last close
Models
8/13
Active
F
Bayesian DCF sees +124.8% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
HMC
2 models active
Quality 1.9/10 — below average

F vs HMC — Fair Value Comparison

F
$0$14$29$43 Price$16.15 Bayesian …$36.31 (+124.8%) Earnings …$35.71 (+121.1%)
HMC
$0$10$21$31 Price$26.48 Bayesian …$8.63 (-67.4%) Earnings …$11.10 (-54.4%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType F Fair ValueF Upside HMC Fair ValueHMC Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $36.31 +124.8% $8.63 -67.4%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $35.71 +121.1% $11.10 -54.4%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

F vs HMC — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

F scores higher with a 8.7/10 quality rating vs HMC's 1.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do F and HMC Valuations Compare?

At $16.15, F trades +124.8% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $36.31, while HMC at $26.48 trades +67.4% above its estimate of $8.63. F shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: F vs HMC

F earns a Quality of Company score of 8.7/10 compared to HMC's 1.9/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: F vs HMC

Review the value trap analysis for both F and HMC to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Auto Manufacturers

Both F and HMC operate in Auto Manufacturers, which has 29 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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