Is EXPD or FWRD more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Expeditors International of Was (EXPD) and Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. EXPD has a Quality of Company score of 9.2/10 while FWRD scores 7.2/10.

Which is a better buy — EXPD or FWRD?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do EXPD and FWRD valuations compare?

EXPD at $157.99 and FWRD at $10.58 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

EXPD vs FWRD Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

EXPD

Arrangement of Transportation of Freight & Cargo

Expeditors International of Was

Quality

9.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$157.99

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

FWRD

Arrangement of Transportation of Freight & Cargo

Forward Air Corporation

Quality

7.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$10.58

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	EXPD Fair Value	EXPD Upside	FWRD Fair Value	FWRD Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$133.94	-15.2%	$3.76	-82.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$60.06	-62.0%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$176.34	+11.6%	$38.63	+265.1%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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EXPD vs FWRD — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

EXPD scores higher with a 9.2/10 quality rating vs FWRD's 7.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Expeditors International of Was (EXPD) and Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

EXPD currently trades at $157.99 with a QOC of 9.2/10, while FWRD trades at $10.58 with a QOC of 7.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).