Is EXC or NWE more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Exelon Corporation (EXC) and NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. (NWE) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. EXC has a Quality of Company score of 7.2/10 while NWE scores 6.1/10.

Which is a better buy — EXC or NWE?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do EXC and NWE valuations compare?

EXC at $45.64 and NWE at $70.61 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

EXC vs NWE Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

EXC

Electric & Other Services Combined

Exelon Corporation

Quality

7.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$45.64

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

NWE

Electric & Other Services Combined

NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.

Quality

6.1

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$70.61

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	EXC Fair Value	EXC Upside	NWE Fair Value	NWE Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$119.48	+161.8%	$123.79	+75.3%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$18.70	-59.0%	$29.75	-57.9%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$38.84	-14.9%	$31.47	-55.4%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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EXC vs NWE — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

EXC scores higher with a 7.2/10 quality rating vs NWE's 6.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Exelon Corporation (EXC) and NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. (NWE) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

EXC currently trades at $45.64 with a QOC of 7.2/10, while NWE trades at $70.61 with a QOC of 6.1/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).