Is EXC or NI more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Exelon Corporation (EXC) and NiSource Inc (NI) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. EXC has a Quality of Company score of 7.2/10 while NI scores 8.5/10.

Which is a better buy — EXC or NI?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do EXC and NI valuations compare?

EXC at $45.64 and NI at $46.22 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

EXC vs NI Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

EXC

Electric & Other Services Combined

Exelon Corporation

Quality

7.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$45.64

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

NI

Electric & Other Services Combined

NiSource Inc

Quality

8.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$46.22

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	EXC Fair Value	EXC Upside	NI Fair Value	NI Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$119.48	+161.8%	$46.41	+0.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$18.70	-59.0%	$10.35	-77.6%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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EXC vs NI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

NI scores higher with a 8.5/10 quality rating vs EXC's 7.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Exelon Corporation (EXC) and NiSource Inc (NI) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

EXC currently trades at $45.64 with a QOC of 7.2/10, while NI trades at $46.22 with a QOC of 8.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).