Is EVTL or HOVR more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) and New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. (HOVR) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. EVTL has a Quality of Company score of 4.3/10 while HOVR scores 5.3/10.

Which is a better buy — EVTL or HOVR?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do EVTL and HOVR valuations compare?

EVTL at $2.70 and HOVR at $2.92 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

EVTL vs HOVR Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

EVTL

Aircraft

Vertical Aerospace Ltd.

Quality

4.3

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$2.70

Last close

Models

4/13

Active

HOVR

Aircraft

New Horizon Aircraft Ltd.

Quality

5.3

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$2.92

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	EVTL Fair Value	EVTL Upside	HOVR Fair Value	HOVR Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$13.31	+393.1%	$0.76	-73.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	—	—	$0.26	-91.2%
PWERM	Option-Based	$4.95	+83.4%	$2.25	-23.0%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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EVTL vs HOVR — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

HOVR scores higher with a 5.3/10 quality rating vs EVTL's 4.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) and New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. (HOVR) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

EVTL currently trades at $2.70 with a QOC of 4.3/10, while HOVR trades at $2.92 with a QOC of 5.3/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).