Is DUO or EFC more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Fangdd Network Group Ltd. (DUO) and Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. DUO has a Quality of Company score of 4.9/10 while EFC scores 8.0/10.

Which is a better buy — DUO or EFC?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do DUO and EFC valuations compare?

DUO at $1.11 and EFC at $13.57 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

DUO vs EFC Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

DUO

Real Estate

Fangdd Network Group Ltd.

Quality

4.9

out of 10

Value Trap

WARN

Price

$1.11

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

EFC

Real Estate

Ellington Financial Inc.

Quality

8.0

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$13.57

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	DUO Fair Value	DUO Upside	EFC Fair Value	EFC Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.31	-71.8%	$1.72	-87.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$12.00	-11.6%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$1.47	+32.7%	—	—
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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DUO vs EFC — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

EFC scores higher with a 8.0/10 quality rating vs DUO's 4.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Fangdd Network Group Ltd. (DUO) and Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

DUO currently trades at $1.11 with a QOC of 4.9/10, while EFC trades at $13.57 with a QOC of 8.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).