Is DOW or OLN more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Dow Inc. (DOW) and Olin Corporation (OLN) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. DOW has a Quality of Company score of 6.8/10 while OLN scores 4.4/10.

Which is a better buy — DOW or OLN?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do DOW and OLN valuations compare?

DOW at $34.77 and OLN at $26.75 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

DOW vs OLN Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

DOW

Chemicals

Dow Inc.

Quality

6.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$34.77

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

OLN

Chemicals

Olin Corporation

Quality

4.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$26.75

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	DOW Fair Value	DOW Upside	OLN Fair Value	OLN Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$70.45	+102.6%	$110.49	+313.0%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$11.95	-65.6%	$44.03	+53.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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DOW vs OLN — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

DOW scores higher with a 6.8/10 quality rating vs OLN's 4.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Dow Inc. (DOW) and Olin Corporation (OLN) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

DOW currently trades at $34.77 with a QOC of 6.8/10, while OLN trades at $26.75 with a QOC of 4.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).