Is DEO or IBG more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Diageo plc (DEO) and Innovation Beverage Group Limit (IBG) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. DEO has a Quality of Company score of 1.7/10 while IBG scores 1.7/10.

Which is a better buy — DEO or IBG?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do DEO and IBG valuations compare?

DEO at $84.59 and IBG at $0.88 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

DEO vs IBG Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

DEO

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries

Diageo plc

Quality

1.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$84.59

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

IBG

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries

Innovation Beverage Group Limit

Quality

1.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$0.88

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	DEO Fair Value	DEO Upside	IBG Fair Value	IBG Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$28.20	-66.7%	$0.23	-73.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$45.82	-42.2%	$3.35	+209.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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DEO vs IBG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

Both DEO and IBG score 1.7/10 on quality. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Diageo plc (DEO) and Innovation Beverage Group Limit (IBG) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

DEO currently trades at $84.59 with a QOC of 1.7/10, while IBG trades at $0.88 with a QOC of 1.7/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).