Is CSX or NSC more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares CSX Corporation (CSX) and Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CSX has a Quality of Company score of 8.5/10 while NSC scores 8.0/10.

Which is a better buy — CSX or NSC?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CSX and NSC valuations compare?

CSX at $45.26 and NSC at $304.96 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CSX vs NSC Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CSX

Railroads, Line-Haul Operating

CSX Corporation

Quality

8.5

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$45.26

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

NSC

Railroads, Line-Haul Operating

Norfolk Southern Corporation

Quality

8.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$304.96

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CSX Fair Value	CSX Upside	NSC Fair Value	NSC Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$2.22	-95.1%	$74.91	-75.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$7.90	-82.5%	$83.18	-72.7%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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CSX vs NSC — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CSX scores higher with a 8.5/10 quality rating vs NSC's 8.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing CSX Corporation (CSX) and Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CSX currently trades at $45.26 with a QOC of 8.5/10, while NSC trades at $304.96 with a QOC of 8.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).