Is CNDT or CTM more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) and Castellum, Inc. (CTM) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CNDT has a Quality of Company score of 5.5/10 while CTM scores 6.5/10.

Which is a better buy — CNDT or CTM?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CNDT and CTM valuations compare?

CNDT at $1.79 and CTM at $0.86 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CNDT vs CTM Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CNDT

Information Technology Services

Conduent Incorporated

Quality

5.5

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$1.79

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

CTM

Information Technology Services

Castellum, Inc.

Quality

6.5

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$0.86

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CNDT Fair Value	CNDT Upside	CTM Fair Value	CTM Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$2.13	+18.9%	$0.21	-75.6%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$7.51	+319.6%	$0.70	-18.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for CNDT vs CTM — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

CNDT vs CTM — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CTM scores higher with a 6.5/10 quality rating vs CNDT's 5.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) and Castellum, Inc. (CTM) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CNDT currently trades at $1.79 with a QOC of 5.5/10, while CTM trades at $0.86 with a QOC of 6.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).