Is CIEN or CSCO more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Ciena Corporation (CIEN) and Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CIEN has a Quality of Company score of 9.0/10 while CSCO scores 9.2/10.

Which is a better buy — CIEN or CSCO?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CIEN and CSCO valuations compare?

CIEN at $570.18 and CSCO at $118.64 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CIEN vs CSCO Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CIEN

Communication Equipment

Ciena Corporation

Quality

9.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$570.18

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

CSCO

Communication Equipment

Cisco Systems, Inc.

Quality

9.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$118.64

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CIEN Fair Value	CIEN Upside	CSCO Fair Value	CSCO Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$43.67	-92.3%	$31.30	-73.6%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$31.89	-94.4%	$23.42	-80.3%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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CIEN vs CSCO — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CSCO scores higher with a 9.2/10 quality rating vs CIEN's 9.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Ciena Corporation (CIEN) and Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CIEN currently trades at $570.18 with a QOC of 9.0/10, while CSCO trades at $118.64 with a QOC of 9.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).