Is CHRW or EXPD more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) and Expeditors International of Was (EXPD) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CHRW has a Quality of Company score of 8.1/10 while EXPD scores 9.2/10.

Which is a better buy — CHRW or EXPD?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CHRW and EXPD valuations compare?

CHRW at $178.65 and EXPD at $157.99 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CHRW vs EXPD Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CHRW

Arrangement of Transportation of Freight & Cargo

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.

Quality

8.1

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$178.65

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

EXPD

Arrangement of Transportation of Freight & Cargo

Expeditors International of Was

Quality

9.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$157.99

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CHRW Fair Value	CHRW Upside	EXPD Fair Value	EXPD Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$80.11	-55.2%	$133.94	-15.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$38.43	-78.5%	$60.06	-62.0%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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CHRW vs EXPD — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

EXPD scores higher with a 9.2/10 quality rating vs CHRW's 8.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) and Expeditors International of Was (EXPD) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CHRW currently trades at $178.65 with a QOC of 8.1/10, while EXPD trades at $157.99 with a QOC of 9.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).