Is CHNR or CMCL more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares China Natural Resources, Inc. (CHNR) and Caledonia Mining Corporation Pl (CMCL) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CHNR has a Quality of Company score of 3.9/10 while CMCL scores 1.7/10.

Which is a better buy — CHNR or CMCL?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CHNR and CMCL valuations compare?

CHNR at $4.08 and CMCL at $23.76 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CHNR vs CMCL Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CHNR

Gold and Silver Ores

China Natural Resources, Inc.

Quality

3.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$4.08

Last close

Models

6/13

Active

CMCL

Gold and Silver Ores

Caledonia Mining Corporation Pl

Quality

1.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$23.76

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CHNR Fair Value	CHNR Upside	CMCL Fair Value	CMCL Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.23	-70.0%	$4.50	-81.1%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$12.95	-43.1%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$12.87	+215.0%	$19.13	-19.5%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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CHNR vs CMCL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CHNR scores higher with a 3.9/10 quality rating vs CMCL's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing China Natural Resources, Inc. (CHNR) and Caledonia Mining Corporation Pl (CMCL) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CHNR currently trades at $4.08 with a QOC of 3.9/10, while CMCL trades at $23.76 with a QOC of 1.7/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).