CGAU vs EGO

Centerra Gold Inc. vs Eldorado Gold Corporation — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — CGAU scores higher on quality with 6.7/10 vs EGO's 2.2/10. CGAU trades at $17.43 while EGO trades at $33.30. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

CGAU

Gold
Centerra Gold Inc.
Quality
6.7
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$17.43
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

EGO

Gold
Eldorado Gold Corporation
Quality
2.2
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$33.30
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
CGAU
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
EGO
2 models active
Quality 2.2/10 — below average

CGAU vs EGO — Fair Value Comparison

CGAU
$0$7$14$21 Price$17.43 Bayesian …$16.32 (-6.4%) Earnings …$6.97 (-60.0%)
EGO
$0$13$26$39 Price$33.30 Bayesian …$9.63 (-71.1%) Earnings …$23.69 (-25.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType CGAU Fair ValueCGAU Upside EGO Fair ValueEGO Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $16.32 -6.4% $9.63 -71.1%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $6.97 -60.0% $23.69 -25.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

CGAU vs EGO — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

CGAU scores higher with a 6.7/10 quality rating vs EGO's 2.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do CGAU and EGO Valuations Compare?

At $17.43, CGAU trades +6.4% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $16.32, while EGO at $33.30 trades +71.1% above its estimate of $9.63. EGO shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: CGAU vs EGO

CGAU earns a Quality of Company score of 6.7/10 compared to EGO's 2.2/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: CGAU vs EGO

Review the value trap analysis for both CGAU and EGO to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Gold

Both CGAU and EGO operate in Gold, which has 50 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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