Is CGAU or DRD more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) and DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CGAU has a Quality of Company score of 6.7/10 while DRD scores 9.9/10.

Which is a better buy — CGAU or DRD?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CGAU and DRD valuations compare?

CGAU at $17.05 and DRD at $26.42 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CGAU vs DRD Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CGAU

Gold

Centerra Gold Inc.

Quality

6.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$17.05

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

DRD

Gold

DRDGOLD Limited

Quality

9.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$26.42

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CGAU Fair Value	CGAU Upside	DRD Fair Value	DRD Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$16.47	-3.4%	$3.77	-85.7%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$7.03	-58.8%	$19.84	-24.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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CGAU vs DRD — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

DRD scores higher with a 9.9/10 quality rating vs CGAU's 6.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) and DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CGAU currently trades at $17.05 with a QOC of 6.7/10, while DRD trades at $26.42 with a QOC of 9.9/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).