CCU vs FMX

Compania Cervecerias Unidas, S. vs Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — CCU scores higher on quality with 8.0/10 vs FMX's 6.9/10. CCU trades at $11.48 while FMX trades at $120.14. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

CCU

Beverages - Brewers
Compania Cervecerias Unidas, S.
Quality
8.0
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$11.48
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

FMX

Beverages - Brewers
Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.
Quality
6.9
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$120.14
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
CCU
Earnings Power Value sees +111.1% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
FMX
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

CCU vs FMX — Fair Value Comparison

CCU
$0$10$19$29 Price$11.48 Bayesian …$9.14 (-20.4%) Earnings …$24.23 (+111.1%)
FMX
$0$47$95$142 Price$120.14 Bayesian …$24.67 (-79.5%) Earnings …$58.99 (-50.9%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType CCU Fair ValueCCU Upside FMX Fair ValueFMX Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $9.14 -20.4% $24.67 -79.5%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $24.23 +111.1% $58.99 -50.9%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

CCU vs FMX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

CCU scores higher with a 8.0/10 quality rating vs FMX's 6.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do CCU and FMX Valuations Compare?

At $11.48, CCU trades +20.4% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $9.14, while FMX at $120.14 trades +79.5% above its estimate of $24.67. FMX shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: CCU vs FMX

CCU earns a Quality of Company score of 8.0/10 compared to FMX's 6.9/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: CCU vs FMX

Review the value trap analysis for both CCU and FMX to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Beverages - Brewers

Both CCU and FMX operate in Beverages - Brewers, which has 7 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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