CCIF vs CGBD

CCIF vs Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — CGBD scores higher on quality with 6.6/10 vs CCIF's 1.8/10. CCIF trades at $3.09 while CGBD trades at $10.96. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

CCIF

Asset Management
CCIF
Quality
1.8
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$3.09
Last close
Models
7/13
Active
VS

CGBD

Asset Management
Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc.
Quality
6.6
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$10.96
Last close
Models
8/13
Active
CCIF
Markov DDM sees +100.0% upside
Quality 1.8/10 — below average
CGBD
ML-RIV sees +105.4% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

CCIF vs CGBD — Fair Value Comparison

CCIF
$0$2$5$7 Price$3.09 Bayesian …$0.80 (-74.0%) Markov DDM$6.18 (+100.0%)
CGBD
$0$9$18$27 Price$10.96 Markov DDM$15.02 (+37.0%) ML-RIV$22.51 (+105.4%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType CCIF Fair ValueCCIF Upside CGBD Fair ValueCGBD Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.80 -74.0%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $6.18 +100.0% $15.02 +37.0%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $2.29 -26.0% $22.51 +105.4%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

CCIF vs CGBD — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

CGBD scores higher with a 6.6/10 quality rating vs CCIF's 1.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do CCIF and CGBD Valuations Compare?

CCIF currently trades at $3.09 while CGBD trades at $10.96. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: CCIF vs CGBD

CCIF earns a Quality of Company score of 1.8/10 compared to CGBD's 6.6/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: CCIF vs CGBD

Review the value trap analysis for both CCIF and CGBD to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Asset Management

Both CCIF and CGBD operate in Asset Management, which has 448 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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